Dow Transports Retesting Weekly Breakout

The Dow Jones Transportation Average represented by the $IYT ETF has been a strong performer throughout May and June. It broke out to new all time highs on July 3rd, resolving a multi-month range sideways.

However, over the past week of trading, we’re seeing some near-term selling pressure come through, and a break of this accelerated bullish trend line.

Here’s the IYT on the daily:

Dow Transports Retesting Weekly Breakout - IYT Daily Breakdown


The daily looks rough, but when we zoom out to the weekly, we can see we are simply re-testing the breakout area in a long term bullish uptrend.

Dow Transports Retesting Weekly Breakout - IYT Weekly Retest

For you dip buyers out there, it’s probably worth paying attention to this pullback and general area for an opportunity to get on board a recently emerged breakout (if it holds).

For you bears, you’re looking for this to collapse back down through those June highs signaling a “false breakout” and maybe even the start of something a bit broader.

For some added beta, look at some of the underlying stocks within this ETF.

They’re industrials, specifically: Airlines, Railroads, Transportation & Shipping.

My favorite trade ideas on the long side would be $DAL, $FDX, $LSTR.

Good luck out there.

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Evan Medeiros

Evan is the founder of the Trade Risk. With 25 years of coding experience and a B.S. in computer science, Evan brings a systematic discipline to investing in the stock market.

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