The Complete Trade Risk Blogroll
Publishing analysis, trade ideas, and education since 2012.
Bitcoin Awakens as AI Momentum Unravels. Can NVIDIA Save Us?
Markets lost energy this week as the Nasdaq failed to break out, average stocks weakened, and momentum names absorbed another round of selling. Yet the...
CRDO Fell 14%. This Is Where Swing Traders Break
Volatility returned sharply as the S&P 500 lost short-term support and the Nasdaq 100 broke lower on heavier volume. The key question is whether this remains a routine pullback or develops into a deeper test of the recent breakout. The Rockets portfolio turned nearly blood…
The VIX Just Hit a 2026 Low. Doesn’t Mean Get Comfortable.
The major indexes spent the week grinding higher on light summer volume, while the VIX closed at a fresh 2026 low. Beneath that calm surface, sharp stock-level moves and widening dispersion kept both opportunity and risk alive.
While the S&P 500 Looks Like Paint Drying, I Missed a 30% Move
The S&P 500 may look like paint drying, but strong dispersion is creating opportunity beneath the surface. With CPI meeting expectations and the swing-trading backdrop turning supportive, the focus remains on individual momentum stocks rather than the indexes. AI infrastructure is regaining strength
Momentum Is Back. The Era of V-Shaped Rallies Continues
This week marked a decisive shift from defense back to risk-taking, as the S&P 500 broke out of its range and a rare momentum breadth thrust signaled renewed participation. Coordinated yen support, resilient AI spending and softer jobs data helped ease key market pressures.
The Market Got Its Rescue Rally. We’re Not Out of the Woods Yet
Markets absorbed a Fed pause, rising Treasury yields, and huge earnings-driven swings, yet the S&P 500 remains trapped in its summer range. Microsoft and Amazon powered an AI rebound, but continued semiconductor damage suggests the all-clear has not arrived.
Strong Earnings Aren’t Enough. The Market Is Sending a Message.
This week’s Stock Market Weekly breaks down a market flashing more warning signs beneath resilient headline indexes. Strong earnings are being sold, Treasury yields and inflation expectations are rising, and weakness in Tesla, Alphabet, and the Nasdaq points to a tougher swing-trading backdrop.
The AI Infrastructure Top and Apple Saves the Indexes
AI hardware stocks suffered a sharp reset as strong earnings from Taiwan Semiconductor and Micron failed to satisfy investors, raising questions about whether expectations have moved too far ahead of fundamentals. Semiconductors and momentum names remain damaged, while the broader indexes are being
Chip Selloff Pressures Momentum as Energy Leads the Tape
Market Environment Stocks closed risk-off as AI and semiconductor selling deepened. QQQ, XLK, and SMH carried the pressure, while energy became the clearest upside pocket as oil surged on U.S.-Iran and Hormuz stress. Defensives and financials helped cushion the tape, but not enough to offset…
Mega-Cap Tech Returns as Momentum Stocks Get Flushed
Major indexes ended near their highs, but calm price action masked a sharp momentum-stock reset as rising rates, stronger oil, and renewed MAG 7 leadership narrowed participation. With the swing-trading model downgraded from bullish to mixed, the takeaway is clear: respect the trend, but stop…
