The Complete Trade Risk Blogroll
Publishing analysis, trade ideas, and education since 2012.
Dip Buyers Showed up Fast as Small Caps Lead the Bounce
Dip buyers returned quickly this week as macro pressure eased and AI leadership held firm. The pullback was shallow, the Russell 2000 bounced from a key level, and semiconductors regained momentum after Nvidia earnings.
Small Caps Lead Late Rebound as Momentum Tech Stays Firm
Market Environment Stocks recovered into the close after midday pressure, with small caps leading the bounce and reported U.S.-Iran progress helping risk appetite. Oil and energy reversed lower, while most major indexes finished modestly green. Nvidia's strong results did not lift mega-cap tech evenly, but…
The Rally Is Winning, But Rates Are Fighting Back
This week’s Stock Market Weekly breaks down the first meaningful cracks in the AI-led rally, as semiconductors, the Nasdaq 100, and market breadth begin to weaken. Rising rates, higher oil, and inflation pressure are now pushing harder against the market’s momentum engine.
Galahad trading system performance for April 2026
Here is the Galahad trading system performance report for April 2026, including the monthly benchmark comparison and a brief review of the market environment that shaped the portfolio during the period. Monthly Performance Portfolio April 2026 Since Inception Galahad 2.83% 61.72% S&P 500 10.51% 51.50%…
This Rally Keeps Getting Harder to Buy. Here’s Exactly What I’m doing.
This week’s Stock Market Weekly breaks down a powerful but increasingly narrow rally led by semiconductors, memory, storage, and AI infrastructure. QQQ and SMH are moving at a remarkable pace, but the speed and concentration of the move raise important risk-management questions for traders chasing…
Momentum Breadth Holds as Quant Rockets Cashes In
Market Environment Stocks finished strong again as falling oil, slightly easier Treasury yields, and steady earnings helped keep buyers in control. Leadership stayed concentrated in semiconductors, storage, and infrastructure, but breadth was healthy enough to support the move. The bigger question now is whether that…
Stocks Keep Climbing, But These 4 Warning Signs Are Hard to Ignore
Stocks pushed to fresh highs after a powerful multi-week rally, but risk signals are starting to build beneath the surface. Rising crude oil, climbing 10-year yields, weak breadth, and increasingly bullish sentiment all suggest the market may be getting stretched, even as the overall trend…
Breadth Expands as Momentum Pays in Power and Resource Leaders
Market Environment Stocks finished higher as the rally broadened into the close. Industrials, health care, utilities, and small caps all pushed higher, while tech improved late after spending much of the day lagging under renewed AI spending pressure. Another helpful shift was energy. Oil reversed…
Why This Stock Market Rally Feels So Hard to Buy
The market staged a powerful short squeeze rally, pushing the S&P 500 to new highs and leaving many traders frustrated on the sidelines. Semiconductors led the charge, with the SMH on pace for its best single month in history — a rules-based signal that rewarded…
Nasdaq Hits Another High as Momentum Breadth Expands
Market Environment U.S. stocks finished firmly higher, with the Nasdaq adding about 1.3% and pushing to a fresh all-time high. Leadership stayed concentrated in technology and AI infrastructure, helped by a strong Boeing earnings reaction and fresh chip-related catalysts out of Google Cloud Next. The…
