Crude Oil Looks Ready to Breakdown

Crude oil has gone nowhere over the past 10 weeks.

We’ve been discussing the potential for a breakout trade in our market recap videos for the past several weeks as we’ve seen it coil up and trade in between this $52 to $54 range.

Today, we finally saw some range expansion to the downside as we broke and closed below this trend-line extending from the January 2017 lows and on an uptick in volume.

Image of WTIC - Crude Oil Looks Ready to Breakdown

We do have some prior horizontal support around this $52 level that could cause some pause in the breakdown, but as it stands, sellers are trying to roll this market off the cliff.

Image2 of WTIC - Crude Oil Looks Ready to Breakdown

We also know based on the commitment of traders report via  www.freecotdata.com that money managers are the longest they’ve been positioned in crude in over a years time.

Image of COT Report - Crude Oil Looks Ready to Breakdown

This means, in general, when everyone is on one side of the boat, it’s probably best not to be right along side of them.

Based on the evidence above, members and I got short crude oil today, February 7th, via $DWT , looking for a continued roll over in crude oil prices towards the December lows.

As always, stops are in place in the event buyers come to the rescue.

Thanks for reading and good luck out there.


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Evan Medeiros

Evan is the founder of the Trade Risk. With 20+ years of coding experience and a B.S. in computer science, Evan brings a systematic discipline to investing in the stock market.

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