On watch for capitulation as inflation fears, war in Iran, and credit stress weigh on markets

Welcome back everyone to Stock Market Weekly Episode #824 for Friday, March 20, 2026 where we will be breaking down the most important trends, price action, and noteworthy moves across financial markets.

As always, we will share extensive analytics on the S&P500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (NDX), Russell 2000 (RUT), and current volatility environments.

Markets covered

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Stocks covered

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In this week’s episode

Markets rolled over sharply this week as rising Treasury yields, a more hawkish Fed, and ongoing geopolitical tensions pushed investors into risk-off mode. The S&P 500 and QQQ broke key support levels while gold suffered one of its worst weeks in years, highlighting how broad and indiscriminate the selling pressure has become . Even strong AI-driven earnings from names like NVDA failed to lift sentiment, signaling that macro concerns are now firmly in control.

Under the surface, deteriorating breadth, rising credit stress, and expanding volatility suggest markets may be nearing a capitulation phase. While the drawdown remains relatively modest, the combination of time-based correction and worsening internals is wearing down participants. The focus now shifts to whether a washout event creates short-term opportunity or if further downside and choppy conditions lie ahead.

Video episode timestamps

  • 0:00 Introduction – Key Events From This Week’s Trading
  • 0:55 Fed Decision And Rate Cut Expectations
  • 1:38 US Iran War Impact On Markets
  • 2:11 Treasury Yields Surge Higher
  • 3:00 Private Credit Concerns Rattle Markets
  • 3:57 Gold Suffers A Historic Drop
  • 5:19 Nvidia GTC Event And AI Spending
  • 6:11 Weekly Market Performance Scorecard
  • 7:06 VIX Volatility And Sector Breakdown
  • 11:27 Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid Chaos
  • 12:43 S&P 500 And Nasdaq Chart Analysis
  • 14:49 What To Watch For Capitulation
  • 16:53 S&P Correction Levels And Targets
  • 22:04 Gold And Defensive Stocks Review
  • 25:19 Space Sector And Standout Stocks
  • 27:13 Portfolio Dashboard And Trading System Recap

We hope that you enjoyed this week’s episode, and look forward to having you back next week!

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